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Managing Investment Risks

In my opinion, it is impossible to predict future stock market returns. Investment models can produce hypothetical returns but they can’t account for future events. So, in my opinion, investors who manage their investments based on market performance or what they perceive as opportunities for better returns have very little control over the outcome.

Flash Boy

The recent Michael Lewis book Flash Boys sure has been able to garner the much needed attention in mainstream media toward an esoteric concept in finance commonly referred to as High Frequency Trading or HFT.

linguistic battleground

Great point by Bob Veres:

Outcome or Process

Here is an excerpt from a weekly piece Barry Ritholtz writes for Washington Post:

Has this ever happened to you?

Goal Based Investing

In a world where you are presented with numerous investment opportunities be it in financial assets, real estate, arts and collectibles, or private businesses how do you decide which investment is the best one?  Ho

Skill Versus Luck in Investing

Shift from QE to forward guidance

In case you missed it Kevin Warsh was on CNBC this morning. Again he made some great points including highlighting one of the downfalls of QE which he suggests has led to a misallocation and “malinvestment” of capital as oppose to hyperinflation which many doomsdayers have been harping on since the beginning of Fed’s Zero Interest Rate and QE policies.

Fed bogey may change

Research work done by economists at IMF as well as work done by Goldman Sachs economist Jan Hatzius are beginning to suggest that the Federal Reserve may be planning to change the threshold for its Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) from their original 6.5% unemployment rate and 2.5% inflation rate to perhaps a lower rate of unemployment such as 6.0% to even 5.5% rate.

How The Economic Machine Works

In this video Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio explains how in his view the economy is like a machine.   Suggesting that many people don’t understand it – or they don’t agree on how it works – and this has led to a lot of needless economic suffering.

Baffled by this Market!

Even Jim Cramer of CNBC is baffled by the price action in US stock market.  In his show last night he admitted that he too hasn’t seen the following price actions in the market during his 34 years investing career.

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